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No. 1 Vol. 1 1st Quarter 2018
This report provides an estimate of the current macro socio-political and economic environment in South Africa, highlighting the continuing influence of the political infrastructure that arose around Jacob Zuma, and, thus, the likelihood that, over the short to medium term, the ruling party will prioritise unity over structural reform.
No. 2 Vol. 1 2nd Quarter 2018
This report provides insight into the current macro socio-political and economic environment in South Africa, judging that, among other things, South Africa’s economy will underperform emerging market norms to a significant extent over the medium term, and that that property rights will remain under pressure over at least the medium term.
No. 3 Vol. 1 3rd & 4th Quarter 2018
This report provides insight into the current macro socio-political and economic environment in South Africa, judging that the government will not introduce much by way of structural reform over the short to medium term, that the ANC will achieve a national majority in the 2019 election, possibly approaching 60%, that political instability will worsen over the short to medium term, and that low rates of economic growth will persist over the short to medium term with significant downside risk.
No. 1 | 2019
The Strategic Intelligence Report provides you with comprehensive analysis of the domestic and international political economy in a single place. This report is updated on an ongoing basis and published twice a year.
COVID-19: Global Scenarios
The Centre For Risk Analysis has released this Covid-19 Global Scenarios report to enable clients to develop immediate strategic responses to the Covid-19 crisis under conditions of rapid change, great uncertainty and limited information.
Global and South African Scenarios in the aftermath of the Covid-19 pandemic
The report identifies ten key driving forces of the Covid-19 crisis and provides four scenarios for the future of the pandemic using the CRA’s unique scenario planning methodology.
The race for the White House
The latest report from the Centre For Risk Analysis (CRA) looks ahead to the US Presidential election on 3 November.
Understanding China: History, politics and economics
The latest report from the Centre For Risk Analysis (CRA) provides a comprehensive introduction to the history, politics and economics of contemporary China.
China and The World: The Geopolitics of East Asia
The latest Strategic Intelligence Report from the Centre For Risk Analysis explores how the geopolitics of East Asia influences the foreign policy actions of the People's Republic of China.
SA's High Tide of Revolution
13 September 2021 - This report provides an assessment of the recent violent anarchy in South Africa.
Coalition country
23 November 2022 - This report examines how coalitions are increasingly becoming a permanent feature of South African political life, and how the 2024 election could play out.
Things fall apart
16 December 2022 - This edition examines what is happening in South Africa today, including the social and economic forces that will influence the trajectory of the country.
Business Beleaguered
05 December 2023 - This edition unpacks South Africa's hostile business environment.
World War Pacific
31 January 2024 - This edition examines the likelihood of a military conflict over Taiwan between China and the United States.
A New Political Landscape
This edition unpacks the changing political landscape in South Africa in the run up to the 2024 National and Provincial Elections.
Decoding India
India remains poorly understood by many political commentators and business leaders despite its significant impact on the global economy. This report serves as a basic introduction to the Indian political sphere.
The 2024 US Election
In less than a week, the United States (US) will have a new president, and polling suggests a tight race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump.
