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Can emerging markets withstand global pressures?
8 September 2022 - Senior Policy Analyst, Chris Hattingh, explores the growing financial pressure on emerging markets (EMs). As EM governments borrow more to fund infrastructure and welfare spending, the risk of debt crises rises.
Gaming a grid collapse
26 May 2023 - In this exclusive Client Note, CRA Director John Endres and CRA Head of Policy Analysis Chris Hattingh discusses how South Africa's electricity crisis could deepen, and assesses the likelihood of a grid collapse.
SA likely to lose AGOA access
12 May 2023 - Head of Policy Analysis at the CRA, Chris Hattingh, discusses how South Africa's perceived support for Russia, could harm the country's relationship with the United States, and put the African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA) agreement in jeopardy.
SONA: State of dysfunction
14 February 2023 - Head of Policy Analysis, Chris Hattingh, describes the real state of the nation as one that is radically different from the experiences of the ruling party elite.
The embattled President
7 December 2022 - John Endres (Director) and Chris Hattingh (Senior Policy Analyst) of the CRA set out five political implications arising from the Phala Phala affair.
[Letter] African countries are not getting the basics of reliable trade infrastructure right
Growth prospects have deteriorated across the continent, including for SA.
[Letter] Avoid tariff-subsidies route
The IMF’s July World Economic Outlook highlights the risks posed by “trade tariffs, alongside a scaling up of industrial policies worldwide”, generating “damaging cross‐border spillovers, as well as trigger retaliation, resulting in a costly race to the bottom”.
[Letter] Bailout risks papering over Transnet failures
The longer SA focuses on short-term ‘fixes’ its trade potential will be hobbled
[Letter] Bailout won’t fix Transnet
Another proposed bailout for Transnet is unlikely to fix its fundamental operational and management problems, and will undermine hard-won government fiscal credibility.
[LETTER] Believing the incentives that led to state capture won’t be abused again is naïve
The ANC remains committed to ideas and policies that will further extend the mixing of state with party.
[Letter] Cash injections won’t save Transnet
Kabelo Khumalo’s article refers (“Rail company boss hails fast-tracking of state reforms”, March 28). I share Traxtion CEO James Holley’s assessment that “it’s hard to exaggerate what a game-changer moment it would be if the SA government is successful in implementing those three projects [in the request for information]”.
[Letter] Cash injections won’t save Transnet
Kabelo Khumalo’s article refers (“Rail company boss hails fast-tracking of state reforms”, March 28). I share Traxtion CEO James Holley’s assessment that “it’s hard to exaggerate what a game-changer moment it would be if the SA government is successful in implementing those three projects [in the request for information]”.
[Letter] Coalition could be helpful
Deputy finance minister David Masondo underestimates the momentum that a coalition — even if it proves to be unstable — could afford President Cyril Ramaphosa’s “reform agenda”.
[Letter] Credibility gap
SA’s risk premium has increased exponentially over the last few years. The government’s preference for control was most recently concretised in the signing into law of the Employment Equity Amendment Bill, indicating a preference for even more state power over the economy and society.
[Letter] Crises are a result of state policies
Business should not be afraid to walk away from partnership.
[Letter] Difficult regulations stymie growth
With a small economy such as ours, regulations and policies that make it more difficult for skilled foreign workers and businesses to invest time and capital here, represent a serious risk to future economic growth.
[Letter] Dire ANC policies and excesses may well worsen
The ANC may begrudgingly take on reforms but these will be cosmetic at best and will not change the fundamental relationship between party and state
[Letter] Eskom board does not have full freedom
Patronage networks will not surrender their access to resources without a long, costly fight.
[Letter] Eskom execs running from toxic ANC
Party policies and cadre deployment are behind utility's demise.
[Letter] Expanding Bank’s mandate will not address jobless problem
The governor was correct in highlighting that, in the context of inefficiencies and constraints that undermine and inhibit job creation, ‘pushing harder on monetary policy is like pushing the accelerator to the floor on a curvy, icy road over a mountain pass’.
[Letter] Expropriation Act could be a killer blow
Dilution of property rights amounts to a spectacular own goal
[Letter] Grandiose shipping project a waste of resources
Private sector investment, not a national shipping company, will solve the problems of dysfunctional rail network.
[Letter] Incrementally or not, NHI is misguided
Monopolising the management of healthcare — even if it is done only incrementally over a long period — will add yet more layers of bureaucracy and control over doctors and nurses, and concentrate resources in the hands of the state. In so doing it will add incentives for cronyism and corruption.
[Letter] Leaving SA is becoming ever more appealing
The rest better start state-proofing their communities and businesses.
[Letter] LETTER: Time to cut import tariffs
SA could pursue state support for certain industries or goods on a carefully considered and precise basis.
