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[Letter] Organised crime has its teeth in SA
Criminal actors are filling governance vacuums, especially in local municipalities
[Video] Are fears of a “second wave” of the Covid-19 pandemic justified?
While known cases have risen in Europe and North America, there has not been a corresponding increase in deaths. Why not? The CRA team and guest speaker, Ian McGorian, big data analyst and member of Pandemics Data & Analysis (PANDA), discuss the validity of the “second wave” thesis.
[Audio] Differences in quality of life between rural and urban provinces
How do differences in the quality of life between urban and rural provinces affect migration, elections and independent movements in South Africa? Gerbrandt Van Heerden, research analyst at the Centre For Risk Analysis (CRA), speaks with Sara Gon on Chai FM’s IRR podcast series about the quality of life in South Africa and the implications of major inequalities between urban and rural provinces.
[Podcast] Risk and having a Plan B
My guest, David Ansara from the "Solutions with David Ansara" podcast, is the Chief Operating Office of the Centre for Risk Analysis.
[Audio] State of Emergency for SA? (SAfm)
Acting Minister in the Presidency Khumbudzo Ntshavheni says a total of 5000 members of the SANDF and other law enforcement agencies will be deployed in different provinces across the country. David Ansara, Chief Operating Officer at the Centre For Risk Analysis shares the risks of the current violent and politically charged environment and the trends likely to come...
[Audio] Stats SA weakened and incapacitated due to lack of funding
Gerbrandt Van Heerden, research analyst at the Centre For Risk Analysis (CRA), spoke to Power FM's Thabiso Kotane about how cuts in government funding are threatening Stats SA’s ability to fulfil its core mandate − to produce key statistics that are vital to understanding the nature of South African society.
[Audio] SWAPO faces it's toughest test as Namibia heads for crucial elections
Voters in Namibia will go to the polls on WEDNESDAY (27 November) to choose their next president and parliamentary representatives. The elections come after President Hage Geingob died in February and was replaced on a interim basis by his deputy, Nangolo Mbumba. The election could mark a historic shift in the country's political landscape if the ruling SWAPO party, in power since independence in 1990, loses control of the presidency or parliament for the first time. The president is directly elected by voters and needs to garner more than 50% of votes to win. Support for SWAPO dropped from 87% in the presidential election in 2014 to 56% in 2019.To look at these crucial elections Bongiwe Zwane spoke to Carika Middelberg, an analyst from the Centre for Risk Analysis
[Audio] The state of the nation and policy reform – ChaiFM
[Audio] Uganda se streng teen-gay-wetgewing veroordeel
Uganda’s anti-LGBTQ Bill condemned.
[Audio] Why there is no necessary reform
David Ansara, Chief Operating Officer of the CRA, was interviewed by Sara Gon on Chai FM about the reasons for the lack of policy reform in South Africa.
[Opinion] Beyond the supplementary budget: how the South African government will respond to its worsening economic and fiscal position
Frans Cronje and David Ansara discuss how SA govt will respond to its worsening economic and fiscal position.
[Opinion] Brexit scenarios: Events, dear boy, events
CRA Analyst, Hermann Pretorius, shares his thoughts on six scenarios for Brexit under new PM, Boris Johnson. This analysis was adapted from the CRA’s Strategic Intelligence Report which details trends and potential scenarios for the domestic and international political economy. This and other reports are available exclusively to CRA subscribers.
[Video] COVID-19: The Hunger Challenge
Dr Frans Cronje of the Centre For Risk Analysis spoke to Carte Blanche about the flaws in the South African government's national lockdown strategy. Cronje argues that the economic deprivation caused by the lockdown risks triggering social instability in the country.
CRA services to continue under Coronavirus contingency plan
Following the announcement by President Ramaphosa last night, Sunday 15 March, a national state of disaster has been declared in South Africa to mitigate the risks of the global Coronavirus pandemic.
[News] De Ruyter slams 100MW cap on private power generation
Government last year lifted the cap on private power generation from 1MW to 100MW, below which companies don’t need to be licensed by energy regulator Nersa. Now Eskom CEO André de Ruyter has questioned why there’s a cap at all.
Discussion: Increase of pupils at independent schools
CRA’s Gerbrandt Van Heerden speaks on ENCA about school vouchers.
[News] Eastern Cape SA’s most unequal province
White South Africans are getting paid three times more than their black African counterparts at work.
[Video] Economic consequences of the lockdown in South Africa
David Ansara of the CRA discusses the South African government's national lockdown strategy and the problems associated with it, including the artificial distinction between "essential" and "non-essential" services.
[Video] Economists warn of investment downgrades
Some economists have warned that unless South Africa puts its economic house in order soon, it faces the possibility of an investment downgrade.
[Audio] The ideological basis of SA’s COV19 lockdown - ETM Macro Podcast with Dr Frans Cronje
Dr Frans Cronje, Director of the Centre For Risk Analysis, speaks to Russell Lamberti of ETM Macro Advisors about the Covid-19 crisis in South Africa and the economic impact of the lockdown.
[Audio] Examining the cause of public violence in South Africa.
13 July 2021 - Khaya Sithole from Power FM is in conversation with Gerbrandt van Heerden, research analyst at the Centre For Risk Analysis (CRA) about the contributing factors to public violence in South Africa.
[Opinion] If Ramaphosa wants major growth, he'll need to drive major reforms
South Africa’s low levels of growth and investment are a consequence of an inhibiting policy environment, and it is up to President Cyril Ramaphosa to drive the reforms necessary to remove obstacles to growth, argues CRA COO, David Ansara.
[News] Key factors driving unemployment discussed
He listed and deeply analysed the following issues: low economic growth; hostile broader economic policy framework; poor education; low skill level, and labour policy as key drivers of unemployment.
[Audio] Land expropriation without compensation would be disastrous for the South African economy - Pompeo
The United States Secretary of State's remarks that land expropriation without compensation would be disastrous for the South African economy are just the latest comments from the US Government casting aspersions on the process.
[Letter] African countries are not getting the basics of reliable trade infrastructure right
Growth prospects have deteriorated across the continent, including for SA.
